{ "sources": [ { "id": "F01", "title": "Marvell Technology Inc. historical data - 19 August 2026 close", "publisher": "Investing.com", "url": "https://www.investing.com/equities/marvell-technology-group-ltd-historical-data", "published_at": null, "accessed_at": "2026-08-20T16:30:00+02:00", "evidence_kind": "observed", "supports": [ "MRVL reference quote 237.27 USD on 2026-08-19" ] }, { "id": "F02", "title": "Marvell Technology, Inc. Reports First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results", "publisher": "Marvell Technology, Inc. Investor Relations", "url": "https://investor.marvell.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1023/marvell-technology-inc-reports-first-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2027-financial-results", "published_at": "2026-05-27", "accessed_at": "2026-08-20T16:30:00+02:00", "evidence_kind": "observed", "supports": [ "Q1 FY2027 revenue", "Q2 FY2027 revenue guidance", "Q2 FY2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance" ] } ], "research": { "as_of": "2026-08-20T16:14:00+02:00", "title": "Marvell Technology (MRVL) Deep Research - Correzione monitoraggio Q2", "market": "USA", "sector": "Technology", "timezone": "Europe/Rome", "limitations": [ "Prezzo e consenso soggetti a variazioni di mercato.", "Forward EPS 7.25 USD e multiplo P/E 40x sono assunzioni modellate della valutazione, non guidance societaria." ], "target_date": "2027-08-20", "method_summary": "Revisione del dossier MRVL: fonti puntuali per quotazione e risultati Q1 FY2027; condizione di monitoraggio collegata al limite inferiore della guidance Q2 FY2027.", "requested_horizon": "12 mesi", "selection_threshold_upside_pct": 20 }, "candidates": [ { "risks": [ { "risk": "Domanda AI inferiore alle attese", "risk_id": "R1", "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "metric_refs": [ "M1" ], "pillar_refs": [ "P1" ], "invalidation_refs": [ "I1" ], "monitoring_condition_refs": [ "C1" ] } ], "thesis": { "title": "Accelerazione AI e custom silicon", "risk_level": "medium", "assumptions": [ "Esecuzione della roadmap AI", "Domanda hyperscaler sostenuta" ], "risk_factors": [ "Rallentamento capex AI" ], "thesis_pillars": [ { "pillar": "AI custom silicon", "pillar_id": "P1", "risk_refs": [ "R1" ], "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "metric_refs": [ "M1" ], "current_status": "positivo", "invalidation_refs": [ "I1" ], "expected_direction": "positive" } ], "investment_case": "La crescita \u00e8 trainata da custom silicon, interconnect e hyperscaler; il recente accordo con Google amplia la visibilit\u00e0 pluriennale.", "expected_scenario": "Espansione ricavi AI e networking", "evidence_confidence": "medium", "expected_period_end": "2027-08-20", "expected_period_start": "2026-08-20", "expected_growth_max_pct": 35, "expected_growth_min_pct": 20, "invalidating_conditions": [ "Mancato raggiungimento della crescita data center" ] }, "catalysts": [], "valuation": { "formula": "EPS x P/E", "source_ids": [ "F01", "F02" ], "base_target": 290, "bear_target": 190, "bull_target": 340, "target_bridge": "7.25 x 40 = 290", "target_method": "Forward EPS x P/E", "formula_inputs": [ "Forward EPS modellato 7.25 USD", "P/E target modellato 40x" ], "primary_method": "P/E", "base_upside_pct": 22.2, "calculation_notes": "Target basato su crescita attesa e multiplo premium. Forward EPS 7.25 USD e P/E target 40x sono assunzioni modellate, non guidance societaria.", "forward_metric_name": "Forward EPS", "base_probability_pct": 50, "base_target_multiple": 40, "bear_probability_pct": 25, "bull_probability_pct": 25, "forward_metric_value": 7.25, "probability_weighted_value": 277.5 }, "instrument": { "mic": "XNAS", "isin": null, "name": "Marvell Technology", "sector": "Technology", "ticker": "MRVL", "currency": "USD", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "subsector": "Semiconductors", "eodhd_symbol": "MRVL.US", "yahoo_symbol": "MRVL" }, "source_ids": [ "F01", "F02" ], "Fondamentali": { "Comuni": [ { "unit": "USD", "scale": "million", "value": 2417.8, "metric": "Q1 FY2027 Revenue", "period": "Q1 FY2027", "currency": "USD", "metric_id": "M1", "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "period_type": "quarter", "availability": "available", "evidence_kind": "observed", "thesis_relevance": "Crescita" } ], "Settoriali": [ { "unit": "USD", "value": 2565, "metric": "Q2 FY2027 revenue guidance low end", "period": "Q2 FY2027", "metric_id": "M2", "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "null_reason": null, "period_type": "forward", "availability": "available", "evidence_kind": "company_guidance", "thesis_relevance": "Soglia quantitativa di verifica della crescita attesa nel prossimo trimestre.", "currency": "USD", "scale": "million" } ], "SpecificiTesi": [ { "supports": [ "P1" ], "risk_refs": [ "R1" ], "metric_ref": "M1", "pillar_refs": [ "P1" ], "thesis_role": "growth", "relevance_reason": "Ricavi AI", "invalidation_refs": [ "I1" ], "sources_to_recheck": [ "F02" ], "specific_metric_id": "ST1", "monitoring_priority": "high", "verification_frequency": "quarterly", "monitoring_condition_refs": [ "C1" ], "expected_value_or_direction": "higher" } ] }, "proposed_alerts": [], "reference_quote": { "price": 237.27, "currency": "USD", "quoted_at": "2026-08-20", "source_id": "F01", "price_kind": "market" }, "weekly_monitoring": { "events": [ "Q2 FY2027 earnings" ], "metrics": [ "Revenue" ], "next_review_date": "2026-08-27", "sources_to_recheck": [ "F02" ] }, "financial_snapshot": [], "invalidation_details": [ { "risk_refs": [ "R1" ], "metric_ref": "M1", "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "description": "Ricavi data center in rallentamento", "pillar_refs": [ "P1" ], "invalidation_id": "I1", "monitoring_condition_ref": "C1" } ], "monitoring_conditions": [ { "unit": "USD million", "operator": "<", "severity": "high", "risk_refs": [ "R1" ], "threshold": 2565, "metric_ref": "M2", "source_ids": [ "F02" ], "description": "Q2 FY2027 revenue below the low end of current company guidance.", "pillar_refs": [ "P1" ], "condition_id": "C1", "condition_type": "guidance", "check_frequency": "quarterly", "proposed_action": "propose_thesis_review", "invalidation_refs": [ "I1" ], "verification_period": "Q2 FY2027" } ] } ], "schema_version": "stocktool.deep_research.v2", "excluded_instruments": [] }